Between the financials of 2015 and 2018,
unsecured loans, including loans to individuals, small and medium-sized businesses (SMEs), and credit cards, experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 27%, or almost four times the growth of bank loans of around 7%. This comes at a time when banks are reeling from the weight of bad business credit. As of March 2018, outstanding unsecured debt was around Rs 500 million, accounting for 26% of retail loans, up from 21% three years ago.
CRISIL Research expects the total unsecured loan portfolio to reach a CAGR of 24-25% to Rs 9.5 billion over the next three years, thanks to increased penetration in the next three years, in existing markets and a concentration growing number of lenders. in small towns.
Important growth factors
The growth of this segment is due to a variety of factors, such as:
- »Increase in discretionary spending by Indian consumers, visible in the growth of private final consumption spending (CCTB) with a CAGR of 11% in the last three years and an increase in foreign tourists to India with a CAGR of 9, 4% from Fiscal Year 11 to Fiscal Year 16.
- “Increased availability of credit reporting information, as evidenced by the steady increase in the number of records in a credit reporting agency's database from approximately 150 million in March 2010 to more than 600 million in March 2018.
- “Technology has made it possible to speed up internal processes and reduce the processing time (TAT) of loans to SMEs from 15 days to 2-3 days. For unsecured personal customer loans, many players have pre-approved loan offers ready to check out.
- "Reduced interest rates in certain segments, eg B. Class A first-class corporate/corporate personal loans, which have contributed to an increase in payments.
- Growing adoption infrastructure (use of point-of-sale terminals) and growth in organized retail, which has stimulated the use of credit cards, reflected in a 10% increase in spending per average CAGR of credit cards. credit between the fiscal year 2015 and fiscal year 2018.
- »Moderate home prices, limited availability of collateral, and easy availability of credit have led to increased demand for unsecured SME loans.